Recent research carried out at the University College London have suggested that warming sea temperatures in the North Atlantic will have a substantial impact on the number of Atlantic hurricanes. Changes of half a degree centigrade could mean 40 per cent increase in the number of hurricanes.
These finding suggest that the reason for the relatively small number of hurricanes in the 2007 season was due to slightly cooler water in the Atlantic.
However, this does not seem to be the last word on the matter. Only two weeks ago a study published by NOAA stated that global warming would result in a decrease in hurricanes due to instability in the atmosphere that would hinder the formation of storms.
While on a third front The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change feels that hurricanes will become stronger, they have no stance as to any change in frequency.
Read more:
The UN Report
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Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre
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Tropical Storm Risk
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Tuesday, February 5, 2008
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